Shandong Taishan 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.5
6+ Goals
7%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.43
1/2
4%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
16%
5.24
X/2
4%
5.83
X/X
13%
4.68
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
27%
3.99
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 37%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+109% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
302 Passes 306
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-0 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
26.04.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
08.08.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
10.05.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
21.11.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 2-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
21.08.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-1 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan squeezed past Chengdu Qianbao 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Shandong Taishan found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shandong Taishan and 1.00 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Shandong Taishan 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 37%, draw 27%, Chengdu Qianbao 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shandong Taishan) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shandong Taishan)
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