Shandong Taishan 1-3 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 20 Jun 2025

📅20/06/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
36%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.07
Over 2.5
38%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.61
No
57%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.0
6+ Goals
7%
9.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 33% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.39
1/2
7%
22.45
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
12%
7.63
X/2
11%
4.79
X/X
18%
5.45
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
18%
2.65
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.5pp
34%
Draw
24%
+9.4pp
36%
Away Win
48%
-12.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
44%
+17.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
56%
-17.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.2pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 52%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.71 xG 2.13
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
245 Passes 313
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2025 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-3 HT 0-2 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
24.09.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-0 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNK
17.08.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-0 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
26.04.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
08.08.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
10.05.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao saw off Shandong Taishan 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 34% / 36%) promised a tight game; Chengdu Qianbao found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shandong Taishan and 1.00 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Shandong Taishan 1-3 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 20/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 30%, draw 34%, Chengdu Qianbao 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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