Kilmarnock 2-2 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 2 Aug 2025

Kilmarnock
2-2 HT 2-0
Livingston
📅02/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Kilmarnock vs Livingston Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.86
6+ Goals
8%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.24
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
18%
5.06
X/2
9%
6.36
X/X
8%
4.47
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
27.0
2/2
20%
4.61
2/X
7%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 6% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kilmarnock v Livingston — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.65/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.00
+11% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
264 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 66%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
24.1 Crosses 16.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kilmarnock vs Livingston Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Livingston
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.13 xG 0.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
252 Passes 206
66% Pass Accuracy 61%
20 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.07.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKLK
07.02.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
16.12.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
21.10.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-1 HT 2-1 Livingston Livingston İKP
13.05.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
04.02.2023 Livingston Livingston 3-1 HT 3-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP

Kilmarnock 2-2 Livingston — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
2-2
AWAY Livingston
0.91 xG 1.83
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
174 Passes 382
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock and Livingston shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kilmarnock at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 36% of the ball to Livingston's 64%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.91 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kilmarnock and 0.67 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Livingston?

Kilmarnock 2-2 Livingston in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 42%, draw 23%, Livingston 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kilmarnock), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKP More Scotland - Premiership
2 Aug 2025
19:30 Motherwell vs Rangers Analysis →