Moreton City Excelsior vs St George Willawong Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Moreton City Excelsior v St George Willawong — Team-Based Signals
Moreton City Excelsior vs St George Willawong Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
St George Willawong cruised past Moreton City Excelsior 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Moreton City Excelsior carried 72% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs St George Willawong?
Moreton City Excelsior 2-5 St George Willawong in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs St George Willawong?
Before kick-off our model rated a Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 72%, draw 19%, St George Willawong 9%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) went the other way.