Peninsula Power 1-2 Queensland Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.53
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
36%
+12.3pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.7pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.5pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.05/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.33
-36% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses 13.8
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peninsula Power
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Queensland Lions
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.05 xG 1.86
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
360 Passes 273
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.05.2025 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-1 HT 0-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
25.05.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-1 HT 2-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
24.02.2024 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-3 HT 0-2 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
08.07.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 2-2 HT 1-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
25.03.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-1 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
10.06.2022 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-1 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
POST-MATCH Peninsula Power vs Queensland Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions nicked a narrow win over Peninsula Power 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Peninsula Power at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queensland Lions led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Peninsula Power and 2.17 for Queensland Lions.

What was the final score of Peninsula Power vs Queensland Lions?

Peninsula Power 1-2 Queensland Lions in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peninsula Power vs Queensland Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Peninsula Power 48%, draw 19%, Queensland Lions 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Peninsula Power) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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