Queensland Lions 1-1 Peninsula Power — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.8pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 30%
-65% / -65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.58/2.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.58
+12% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queensland Lions
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Peninsula Power
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.75 xG 0.99
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
264 Passes 286
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-1 HT 2-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
24.02.2024 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-3 HT 0-2 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
08.07.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 2-2 HT 1-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
25.03.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-1 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
10.06.2022 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-1 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
29.10.2021 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-1 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
POST-MATCH Queensland Lions vs Peninsula Power
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions and Peninsula Power shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Queensland Lions at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queensland Lions had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Queensland Lions and 0.83 for Peninsula Power.

What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Peninsula Power?

Queensland Lions 1-1 Peninsula Power in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Peninsula Power?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 49%, draw 23%, Peninsula Power 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Queensland Lions), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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