Queensland Lions 3-1 Peninsula Power — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.5pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.2pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 28%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
3.18/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/3.18
+56% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +141%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
359 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 13.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queensland Lions
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Peninsula Power
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.75 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
264 Passes 286
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-3 HT 0-2 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
08.07.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 2-2 HT 1-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
25.03.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-1 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
10.06.2022 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-1 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
29.10.2021 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-1 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
28.08.2021 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-3 HT 1-2 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
POST-MATCH Queensland Lions vs Peninsula Power
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions beat Peninsula Power 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Queensland Lions as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queensland Lions had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Queensland Lions and 0.83 for Peninsula Power.

What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Peninsula Power?

Queensland Lions 3-1 Peninsula Power in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Peninsula Power?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 43%, draw 29%, Peninsula Power 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queensland Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
25 May 2024
06:00 Green Gully vs Hume City Analysis →
07:00 South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions Analysis →
07:30 Clarence Zebras vs Devonport City Analysis →
07:30 Maitland vs Weston Bears Analysis →
07:30 Edgeworth Eagles vs Newcastle Olympic Analysis →
08:00 Cooma Tigers vs O Connor Knights Analysis →