Brisbane City 1-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 24 May 2025

Brisbane City
1-1 HT 1-0
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
📅24/05/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - Queensland NPL – 2025

Brisbane City vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+6.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brisbane City v Sunshine Coast Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 26%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.75/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.46
+33% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
8.7 Crosses 16.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Brisbane City vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.30 xG 0.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
422 Passes 284
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.06.2024 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-1 HT 2-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
02.03.2024 Brisbane City Brisbane City 3-2 HT 2-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
20.08.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
13.05.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 5-1 HT 1-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
24.07.2022 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
24.04.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 4-4 HT 1-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
POST-MATCH Brisbane City vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane City and Sunshine Coast Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Brisbane City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Brisbane City and 1.83 for Sunshine Coast Wanderers.

What was the final score of Brisbane City vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Brisbane City 1-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane City vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Brisbane City 47%, draw 24%, Sunshine Coast Wanderers 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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