Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.8pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.54/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.18
+8% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
19.7 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Macara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 0.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
238 Passes 192
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 3
11.04.2025 Macara Macara 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
24.08.2024 Macara Macara 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
21.03.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
27.08.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
17.04.2022 Macara Macara 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
26.10.2021 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 1-1 Macara Macara EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1-1
AWAY Macara
1.36 xG 1.10
70% Ball Possession 30%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
364 Passes 108
82% Pass Accuracy 58%
13 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cuenca and Macara shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Cuenca at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 70% of the ball to Macara's 30%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.36 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cuenca had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.00 for Macara.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Macara?

Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 47%, draw 27%, Macara 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✓ Under 2.5
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