Cardiff MU 4-0 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.37
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
12%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
68%
+3.7pp
16%
Draw
18%
-1.6pp
12%
Away Win
14%
-2.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 17%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
4.40/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.96
+62% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.12.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-0 HT 1-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALLK
28.10.2023 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 1-3 HT 1-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
08.09.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-0 HT 0-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GAL
02.12.2022 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 0-1 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
30.08.2022 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 3-0 HT 1-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GAL
POST-MATCH Cardiff MU vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff MU ran out comfortable winners over Pontypridd Town AFC 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cardiff MU as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cardiff MU had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cardiff MU and 0.20 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Cardiff MU 4-0 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - League Cup on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff MU win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 72%, draw 16%, Pontypridd Town AFC 12%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff MU), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff MU) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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