Haverfordwest County 5-0 Newport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.47
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
63%
-17.6pp
31%
Draw
21%
+9.7pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport City EU Bookmakers 19%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+119% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Newport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County swept aside Newport City 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Haverfordwest County as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Newport City?

Haverfordwest County 5-0 Newport City in the Wales - League Cup on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Newport City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 46%, draw 31%, Newport City 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haverfordwest County) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✗ BTTS Yes
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