Trefelin 1-6 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.95
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
64%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.5pp
15%
Draw
14%
+1.1pp
64%
Away Win
76%
-12.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont EU Bookmakers 81%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
187 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 560 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Penybont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont swept aside Trefelin 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Penybont as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Penybont?

Trefelin 1-6 Penybont in the Wales - League Cup on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Penybont?

Before kick-off our model rated an Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 21%, draw 15%, Penybont 64%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penybont), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Penybont) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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