Kyzyl-Zhar 0-2 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol EU Bookmakers 55%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
0.43/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.05
-52% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -33%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
195 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tobol
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
04.05.2025 Tobol Tobol 2-1 HT 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
11.08.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-2 HT 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
31.03.2024 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-0 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
27.09.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
03.06.2023 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
26.06.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-3 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
POST-MATCH Kyzyl-Zhar vs Tobol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol got the better of Kyzyl-Zhar 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kyzyl-Zhar and 1.33 for Tobol.

What was the final score of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Tobol?

Kyzyl-Zhar 0-2 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Super League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Tobol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kyzyl-Zhar 23%, draw 27%, Tobol 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✓ Under 2.5
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