Tobol vs Kyzyl-Zhar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tobol v Kyzyl-Zhar — Team-Based Signals
Tobol vs Kyzyl-Zhar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Tobol
KAZP
1-0
HT 0-0
Kyzyl-Zhar
KAZP
1-3
HT 1-1
Tobol
KAZP
2-0
HT 1-0
Kyzyl-Zhar
KAZP
Tobol squeezed past Kyzyl-Zhar 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tobol and 0.67 for Kyzyl-Zhar.
What was the final score of Tobol vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
Tobol 2-1 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tobol vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tobol 54%, draw 28%, Kyzyl-Zhar 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.