Yelimay Semey 0-2 Okzhetpes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 4 May 2025

Yelimay Semey
0-2 HT 0-1
Okzhetpes
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2025

Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
30%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yelimay Semey v Okzhetpes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 16%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.30/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.42
+27% / +143% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -18%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
457 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Okzhetpes saw off Yelimay Semey 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Yelimay Semey at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes?

Yelimay Semey 0-2 Okzhetpes in the Kazakistan - Super League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 57%, draw 23%, Okzhetpes 20%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Yelimay Semey) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
4 May 2025
15:00 Kaisar vs FC Astana Analysis →
17:00 Tobol vs Kyzyl-Zhar Analysis →