Kaisar 1-1 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.4
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
45%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
15%
+12.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
45%
Away Win
61%
-16.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.2pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaisar EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana EU Bookmakers 66%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
0.93/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.52
+19% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +70%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
210 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaisar
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Astana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
18.09.2024 Kaisar Kaisar 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
12.05.2024 FC Astana FC Astana 1-1 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
20.08.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 1-1 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
30.04.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
23.04.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
19.04.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 5-1 HT 3-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZKK
POST-MATCH Kaisar vs FC Astana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaisar and FC Astana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Astana at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kaisar and 2.00 for FC Astana.

What was the final score of Kaisar vs FC Astana?

Kaisar 1-1 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaisar vs FC Astana?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kaisar 28%, draw 27%, FC Astana 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Astana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
4 May 2025
16:00 Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes Analysis →
17:00 Tobol vs Kyzyl-Zhar Analysis →