Lietava Jonava 2-1 Be1 NFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 37%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.38/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.97
-74% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +51%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lietava Jonava
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Be1 NFA
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 0-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
27.10.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 4-1 HT 2-1 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
09.06.2023 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 1-5 HT 1-2 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
POST-MATCH Lietava Jonava vs Be1 NFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lietava Jonava squeezed past Be1 NFA 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Lietava Jonava made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lietava Jonava and 3.00 for Be1 NFA.

What was the final score of Lietava Jonava vs Be1 NFA?

Lietava Jonava 2-1 Be1 NFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lietava Jonava vs Be1 NFA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lietava Jonava win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lietava Jonava 38%, draw 31%, Be1 NFA 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lietava Jonava) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lietava Jonava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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