FA Siauliai II 3-1 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
48%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.49
No
35%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
38%
-8.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
48%
Away Win
37%
+11.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.2pp
65%
BTTS Yes
63%
+1.6pp
35%
BTTS No
37%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.66/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.32
+13% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
234 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai II
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Nevezis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Nevezis Nevezis 2-4 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
30.08.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-3 HT 0-2 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
05.04.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
12.08.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 3-2 HT 1-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
24.03.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
30.10.2022 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-1 HT 0-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai II vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai II got the better of Nevezis 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nevezis at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nevezis led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FA Siauliai II and 1.67 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai II vs Nevezis?

FA Siauliai II 3-1 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai II vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai II 30%, draw 22%, Nevezis 48%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nevezis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nevezis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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