Nevezis 1-0 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2024

Nevezis
1-0 HT 1-0
FA Siauliai II
📅05/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Nevezis vs FA Siauliai II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.29
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
73%
-10.6pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.8pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+5.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nevezis v FA Siauliai II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.95/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/3.01
-8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -34%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
507 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4

Nevezis vs FA Siauliai II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
3W-0D-1L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.08.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 3-2 HT 1-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
24.03.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
30.10.2022 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-1 HT 0-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
23.06.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 2-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis nicked a narrow win over FA Siauliai II 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nevezis as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nevezis had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nevezis and 0.75 for FA Siauliai II.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs FA Siauliai II?

Nevezis 1-0 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 62%, draw 22%, FA Siauliai II 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nevezis), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nevezis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
5 Apr 2024
16:00 Tauras Taurage vs FK BANGA II Analysis →
18:00 Kauno Zalgiris II vs Be1 NFA Analysis →
19:00 Babrungas vs Ekranas Analysis →
19:00 Neptüna Klaipeda vs BFA Analysis →