Kauno Zalgiris II 0-2 Be1 NFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.34
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
43%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
16%
+10.9pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.6pp
43%
Away Win
63%
-19.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 67%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
2.16/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.58
+111% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +86%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
232 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 507 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Be1 NFA
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 0-1 HT 0-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
19.05.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 0-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0-2
AWAY Be1 NFA
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Be1 NFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Be1 NFA got the better of Kauno Zalgiris II 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Be1 NFA as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 36% of the ball to Be1 NFA's 64%, shots finished 9-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 0.50 for Be1 NFA.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Be1 NFA?

Kauno Zalgiris II 0-2 Be1 NFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Be1 NFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 27%, draw 30%, Be1 NFA 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Be1 NFA), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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