Nevezis 2-4 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.85
No
41%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-15.0pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.4pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
50%
+9.1pp
41%
BTTS No
50%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 15%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
2.09/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.69
-6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
372 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
30.08.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-3 HT 0-2 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
05.04.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
12.08.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 3-2 HT 1-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
24.03.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
30.10.2022 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-1 HT 0-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
23.06.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 2-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nevezis
2-4
AWAY FA Siauliai II
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai II got the better of Nevezis 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Nevezis carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nevezis had 44% of the ball to FA Siauliai II's 56%, shots finished 15-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nevezis had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nevezis and 0.67 for FA Siauliai II.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs FA Siauliai II?

Nevezis 2-4 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 56%, draw 23%, FA Siauliai II 21%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nevezis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nevezis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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