BFA 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2025

BFA
2-0
Kauno Zalgiris II
📅28/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2026

BFA vs Kauno Zalgiris II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-14.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.7pp
25%
Away Win
13%
+12.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BFA v Kauno Zalgiris II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 16%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -17%
1.72/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/2.61
-23% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

BFA vs Kauno Zalgiris II Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 BFA BFA LIT1
21.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-0 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
01.04.2023 BFA BFA 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
POST-MATCH BFA vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA beat Kauno Zalgiris II 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had BFA as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for BFA and 1.33 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of BFA vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

BFA 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split BFA 54%, draw 21%, Kauno Zalgiris II 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFA), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BFA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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