FA Siauliai II 1-3 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
53%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-1.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 59%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -14%
1.59/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.02
+40% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +3%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai II
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Nevezis
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
12.08.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 3-2 HT 1-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
24.03.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
30.10.2022 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-1 HT 0-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
23.06.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 2-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai II
1-3
AWAY Nevezis
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 31
6 Shots on Target 14
3 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai II vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis beat FA Siauliai II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nevezis as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, FA Siauliai II had 42% of the ball to Nevezis's 58%, shots finished 15-31.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nevezis led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for FA Siauliai II and 1.40 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai II vs Nevezis?

FA Siauliai II 1-3 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai II vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai II 24%, draw 23%, Nevezis 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nevezis), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nevezis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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