BFA 0-5 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
4.04
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
43%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
22%
+13.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
43%
Away Win
55%
-12.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.8pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -17%
1.34/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.65
+32% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -41%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
322 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
46% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-2 HT 1-1 BFA BFA LIT1
30.09.2023 BFA BFA 2-2 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
13.05.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
07.10.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-0 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
04.06.2022 BFA BFA 3-0 HT 2-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFA
0-5
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH BFA vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda ran out comfortable winners over BFA 5-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, BFA had 43% of the ball to Neptüna Klaipeda's 57%, shots finished 9-21.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for BFA and 1.20 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of BFA vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

BFA 0-5 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split BFA 35%, draw 22%, Neptüna Klaipeda 43%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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