Kauno Zalgiris II 1-2 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-1.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 55%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.47/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.36
+23% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -58%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
2W-0D-2L
AWAY BFA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.03.2025 BFA BFA 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
26.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 BFA BFA LIT1
21.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-0 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
01.04.2023 BFA BFA 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
1-2
AWAY BFA
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA edged past Kauno Zalgiris II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BFA as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 45% of the ball to BFA's 55%, shots finished 5-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 1.00 for BFA.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs BFA?

Kauno Zalgiris II 1-2 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 29%, draw 22%, BFA 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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