Chayka 1-1 Volga Ulyanovsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.9pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Volga Ulyanovsk EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.78/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.47
-27% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +135%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
229 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chayka
1-1
AWAY Volga Ulyanovsk
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chayka vs Volga Ulyanovsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chayka and Volga Ulyanovsk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Chayka had 47% of the ball to Volga Ulyanovsk's 53%, shots finished 6-13.

What was the final score of Chayka vs Volga Ulyanovsk?

Chayka 1-1 Volga Ulyanovsk in the Russia - FNL on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs Volga Ulyanovsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Volga Ulyanovsk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chayka 38%, draw 24%, Volga Ulyanovsk 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Volga Ulyanovsk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Volga Ulyanovsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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