Ural 2-1 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.28/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.75
-8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +71%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ural
0W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 3-2 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS1
04.11.2024 Ural Ural 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
13.03.2024 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 HT 1-0 Ural Ural RUSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
2-1
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ural vs FK Rodina Moskva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural edged past FK Rodina Moskva 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ural as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ural had 41% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 59%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ural and 1.33 for FK Rodina Moskva.

What was the final score of Ural vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Ural 2-1 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ural 47%, draw 28%, FK Rodina Moskva 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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