FK Ufa 1-0 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.6pp
35%
Draw
31%
+3.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.10/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.33
-4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Ufa
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Shinnik
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 FK Ufa FK Ufa 1-0 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
07.09.2024 Shinnik Shinnik 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
19.03.2023 FK Ufa FK Ufa 1-2 HT 0-2 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Ufa
1-0
AWAY Shinnik
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FK Ufa vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Ufa nicked a narrow win over Shinnik 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 35% / 29% — and on the day FK Ufa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, FK Ufa had 51% of the ball to Shinnik's 49%, shots finished 4-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shinnik led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Ufa and 1.33 for Shinnik.

What was the final score of FK Ufa vs Shinnik?

FK Ufa 1-0 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Ufa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 36%, draw 35%, Shinnik 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Ufa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Ufa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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