FK Rodina Moskva 3-2 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
24%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 40%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.69/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.95
-36% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Ural
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2024 Ural Ural 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
13.03.2024 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 HT 1-0 Ural Ural RUSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
3-2
AWAY Ural
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Rodina Moskva vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Rodina Moskva squeezed past Ural 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day FK Rodina Moskva made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Rodina Moskva had 44% of the ball to Ural's 56%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FK Rodina Moskva and 0.50 for Ural.

What was the final score of FK Rodina Moskva vs Ural?

FK Rodina Moskva 3-2 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Rodina Moskva vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 33%, draw 30%, Ural 37%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ural) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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