Sokol Saratov 1-0 Tyumen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.13
No
64%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.6pp
64%
BTTS No
57%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Tyumen EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.70/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.63
-35% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +78%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sokol Saratov
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Tyumen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2024 Tyumen Tyumen 0-1 HT 0-1 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
12.05.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 2-1 HT 2-1 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
05.11.2023 Tyumen Tyumen 2-0 HT 0-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sokol Saratov
1-0
AWAY Tyumen
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sokol Saratov vs Tyumen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sokol Saratov edged past Tyumen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sokol Saratov as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Sokol Saratov had 45% of the ball to Tyumen's 55%, shots finished 5-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sokol Saratov had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sokol Saratov and 1.00 for Tyumen.

What was the final score of Sokol Saratov vs Tyumen?

Sokol Saratov 1-0 Tyumen in the Russia - FNL on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sokol Saratov vs Tyumen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sokol Saratov win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sokol Saratov 43%, draw 27%, Tyumen 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sokol Saratov), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sokol Saratov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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