ND Primorje 1-3 NK Bravo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.42
6+ Goals
8%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 30% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Bravo EU Bookmakers 45%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.18/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.20
+0% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Primorje
2W-0D-2L
AWAY NK Bravo
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.04.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 3-0 HT 1-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
07.02.2025 NK Bravo NK Bravo 3-1 HT 2-1 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
06.10.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 1-0 HT 0-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
29.07.2024 NK Bravo NK Bravo 4-0 HT 0-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Primorje
1-3
AWAY NK Bravo
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ND Primorje vs NK Bravo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Bravo beat ND Primorje 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 40%) promised a tight game; NK Bravo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, ND Primorje had 48% of the ball to NK Bravo's 52%, shots finished 6-16.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for ND Primorje and 1.75 for NK Bravo.

What was the final score of ND Primorje vs NK Bravo?

ND Primorje 1-3 NK Bravo in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Primorje vs NK Bravo?

Before kick-off our model rated an NK Bravo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split ND Primorje 38%, draw 22%, NK Bravo 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Bravo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NK Bravo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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