Mura 1-1 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2025

Mura
1-1 HT 1-1
Aluminij
📅02/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Mura vs Aluminij Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mura v Aluminij — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.64/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.22
+27% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Mura vs Aluminij Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Aluminij
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.04.2024 Mura Mura 3-1 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
01.03.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 2-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
04.11.2023 Mura Mura 1-0 HT 0-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
25.08.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 0-1 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
18.04.2022 Mura Mura 3-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
19.02.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 0-1 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN

Mura 1-1 Aluminij — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
1-1
AWAY Aluminij
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mura vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mura and Aluminij couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mura at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mura had 54% of the ball to Aluminij's 46%, shots finished 11-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mura had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mura and 0.50 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Mura vs Aluminij?

Mura 1-1 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mura 44%, draw 25%, Aluminij 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mura) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mura) ✓ BTTS Yes
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