ND Primorje 1-0 NK Bravo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.09
6+ Goals
7%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 33% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Bravo EU Bookmakers 54%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.95
+91% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Primorje
0W-0D-1L
AWAY NK Bravo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.07.2024 NK Bravo NK Bravo 4-0 HT 0-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Primorje
1-0
AWAY NK Bravo
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ND Primorje vs NK Bravo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Primorje squeezed past NK Bravo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was NK Bravo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ND Primorje had 49% of the ball to NK Bravo's 51%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of ND Primorje vs NK Bravo?

ND Primorje 1-0 NK Bravo in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Primorje vs NK Bravo?

Before kick-off our model rated an NK Bravo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split ND Primorje 29%, draw 29%, NK Bravo 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (NK Bravo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NK Bravo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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