Olimpija Ljubljana 0-1 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.42
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.82/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.58
+11% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Koper
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.07.2024 Koper Koper 0-1 HT 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
30.03.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 3-2 HT 2-0 Koper Koper SLVN
07.03.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-4 HT 2-2 Koper Koper SLVNK
10.12.2023 Koper Koper 2-4 HT 0-3 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
28.09.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
22.07.2023 Koper Koper 2-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
0-1
AWAY Koper
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper edged past Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Olimpija Ljubljana at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 63% of the ball to Koper's 37%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.83 for Koper.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper?

Olimpija Ljubljana 0-1 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 48%, draw 24%, Koper 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ BTTS No
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