Koper 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.07/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.22
-7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 3-2 HT 2-0 Koper Koper SLVN
07.03.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-4 HT 2-2 Koper Koper SLVNK
10.12.2023 Koper Koper 2-4 HT 0-3 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
28.09.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
22.07.2023 Koper Koper 2-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
30.04.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 3-2 HT 2-1 Koper Koper SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
0-1
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
53% Ball Possession 47%
2 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Koper vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana edged past Koper 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Koper had 53% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 47%, shots finished 2-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Koper and 2.33 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Koper vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Koper 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Koper 33%, draw 26%, Olimpija Ljubljana 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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