Colorado Springs 3-1 Lexington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Lexington EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.46/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.38
+4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
16.7 Crosses 19.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lexington
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.64 xG 2.88
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
327 Passes 222
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
21.06.2025 Lexington Lexington 2-1 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
3-1
AWAY Lexington
1.29 xG 0.41
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
297 Passes 390
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
21 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Lexington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs saw off Lexington 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Colorado Springs as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 44% of the ball to Lexington's 56%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.29 to 0.41.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Lexington?

Colorado Springs 3-1 Lexington in the USL Championship on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Lexington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 47%, draw 25%, Lexington 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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