FC Tulsa vs Loudoun United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Tulsa v Loudoun United — Team-Based Signals
FC Tulsa vs Loudoun United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
FC Tulsa
USLP
3-0
HT 1-0
Loudoun United
USLP
2-1
HT 1-1
Loudoun United
USLP
2-2
HT 1-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
FC Tulsa 3-2 Loudoun United — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa squeezed past Loudoun United 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had FC Tulsa as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, FC Tulsa had 51% of the ball to Loudoun United's 49%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 2.81 to 2.07.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for FC Tulsa and 1.80 for Loudoun United.
What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Loudoun United?
FC Tulsa 3-2 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Loudoun United?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 52%, draw 20%, Loudoun United 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tulsa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.