Lexington 2-1 Colorado Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lexington EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
0.78/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.58
-50% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.0 Crosses 14.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lexington
2-1
AWAY Colorado Springs
2.88 xG 2.64
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
222 Passes 327
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lexington vs Colorado Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lexington squeezed past Colorado Springs 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Lexington made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lexington had 41% of the ball to Colorado Springs's 59%, shots finished 15-22, expected goals 2.88 to 2.64.

What was the final score of Lexington vs Colorado Springs?

Lexington 2-1 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lexington vs Colorado Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lexington 38%, draw 25%, Colorado Springs 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lexington) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lexington) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
21 Jun 2025
02:30 Hartford Athletic vs Loudoun United Analysis →
02:30 North Carolina vs Louisville City Analysis →
23:00 Detroit City vs Miami FC Analysis →