Hartford Athletic 3-0 Loudoun United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.37/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.93
-21% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
17.4 Crosses 19.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartford Athletic
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Loudoun United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.02 xG 1.38
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
305 Passes 408
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2025 Loudoun United Loudoun United 2-0 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
06.10.2024 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
04.07.2024 Loudoun United Loudoun United 3-0 HT 2-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
04.07.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 2-1 HT 1-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
21.05.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
22.09.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 3-0 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartford Athletic
3-0
AWAY Loudoun United
6.64 xG 1.03
36% Ball Possession 64%
21 Total Shots 13
12 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
181 Passes 400
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
41 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hartford Athletic vs Loudoun United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartford Athletic ran out comfortable winners over Loudoun United 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Hartford Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hartford Athletic had 36% of the ball to Loudoun United's 64%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 6.64 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loudoun United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hartford Athletic and 2.00 for Loudoun United.

What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Loudoun United?

Hartford Athletic 3-0 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs Loudoun United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 36%, draw 27%, Loudoun United 37%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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