North Carolina vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
North Carolina v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
North Carolina vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
North Carolina
USLP
4-1
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
North Carolina 2-1 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
North Carolina squeezed past Louisville City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; North Carolina found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, North Carolina had 43% of the ball to Louisville City's 57%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 0.87 to 1.78 — on chances, Louisville City could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for North Carolina and 2.33 for Louisville City.
What was the final score of North Carolina vs Louisville City?
North Carolina 2-1 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for North Carolina vs Louisville City?
Before kick-off our model rated a North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 35%, draw 30%, Louisville City 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.