Colorado Rapids vs Austin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Colorado Rapids v Austin — Team-Based Signals
Colorado Rapids vs Austin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Austin
ABD
1-1
HT 1-0
Colorado Rapids
ABD
Colorado Rapids 1-0 Austin — Actual Match Statistics
Colorado Rapids squeezed past Austin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Colorado Rapids as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 2.95 to 1.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Colorado Rapids's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Rapids had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Colorado Rapids and 1.00 for Austin.
What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs Austin?
Colorado Rapids 1-0 Austin in the USA - Major League on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs Austin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Rapids win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 51%, draw 24%, Austin 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Rapids) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.