Austin 3-2 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.44
2-3 Goals
35%
2.0
4-5 Goals
30%
2.67
6+ Goals
15%
6.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.69
1/2
10%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
10%
5.02
X/2
11%
7.2
X/X
13%
5.93
2/1
8%
21.25
2/2
8%
4.42
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.7pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austin EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -17%
1.76/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.64
+18% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 82%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
23.8 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.11 xG 1.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
376 Passes 303
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
01.10.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
26.03.2023 Austin Austin 1-1 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
10.10.2022 Austin Austin 1-1 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
05.07.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-3 HT 2-2 Austin Austin ABD
30.09.2021 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 3-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austin
3-2
AWAY Colorado Rapids
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
540 Passes 236
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Austin vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austin edged past Colorado Rapids 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Austin as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Austin had 68% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 32%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Rapids led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Austin and 1.67 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of Austin vs Colorado Rapids?

Austin 3-2 Colorado Rapids in the USA - Major League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austin vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Austin 43%, draw 27%, Colorado Rapids 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Austin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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