New York Red Bulls 2-3 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
41%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
24%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.73
1/2 EV+
13%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
10%
4.99
X/2
18%
7.18
X/X
14%
5.66
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
10%
4.52
2/X
5%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-13.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
41%
Away Win
30%
+11.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +34%
1.28/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.44
-20% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
19.2 Crosses 16.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.30 xG 1.37
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
242 Passes 404
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
02.07.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
19.03.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-1 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
02.10.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
20.03.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-1 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
24.10.2021 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-2 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
2-3
AWAY Columbus Crew
30% Ball Possession 70%
13 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
228 Passes 684
74% Pass Accuracy 90%
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew squeezed past New York Red Bulls 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 30% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 70%, shots finished 13-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.67 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew?

New York Red Bulls 2-3 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated an Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 33%, draw 26%, Columbus Crew 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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