Minnesota United 4-1 St. Louis City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.17
2-3 Goals
37%
2.09
4-5 Goals
27%
2.55
6+ Goals
14%
5.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.83
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.6
X/1
9%
4.07
X/2
9%
12.1
X/X
11%
7.18
2/1 EV+
12%
19.1
2/2
11%
7.94
2/X
6%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
62%
-12.8pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.77/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.90
-4% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
20.3 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
2W-0D-1L
AWAY St. Louis City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.09 xG 1.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
305 Passes 359
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 St. Louis City St. Louis City 1-3 HT 1-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
24.09.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-2 HT 0-0 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
02.04.2023 St. Louis City St. Louis City 0-1 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
4-1
AWAY St. Louis City
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
300 Passes 489
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs St. Louis City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minnesota United cruised past St. Louis City 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Minnesota United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Minnesota United had 40% of the ball to St. Louis City's 60%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Minnesota United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Minnesota United and 1.00 for St. Louis City.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs St. Louis City?

Minnesota United 4-1 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs St. Louis City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 49%, draw 24%, St. Louis City 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minnesota United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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