Chicago Fire 0-3 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.61
1/2
9%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
11%
4.64
X/2
10%
7.48
X/X
11%
5.4
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
17%
5.06
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-10.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.58/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.21
-3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.6 Crosses 16.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chicago Fire
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nashville SC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.79 xG 1.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
415 Passes 335
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
09.07.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
07.05.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
26.09.2021 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 0-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
18.07.2021 Nashville SC Nashville SC 5-1 HT 4-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
01.11.2020 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-1 HT 1-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chicago Fire
0-3
AWAY Nashville SC
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
388 Passes 424
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
POST-MATCH Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC swept aside Chicago Fire 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Nashville SC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Chicago Fire had 49% of the ball to Nashville SC's 51%, shots finished 12-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nashville SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.67 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?

Chicago Fire 0-3 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 37%, draw 27%, Nashville SC 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chicago Fire), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chicago Fire) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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