CF Montreal 2-0 New York City FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
4.36
1/2
6%
23.15
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
9%
6.77
X/2
11%
5.08
X/X
11%
5.31
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
18%
2.92
2/X
8%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+7.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-7.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY New York City FC EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.27/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.24
+4% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
16.8 Crosses 17.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
0W-1D-5L
AWAY New York City FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 1.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
418 Passes 350
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2024 New York City FC New York City FC 2-0 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
31.08.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 2-0 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
02.07.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-1 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
23.10.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-3 HT 0-2 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
31.07.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-0 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
12.03.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 4-1 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
2-0
AWAY New York City FC
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 10
371 Passes 579
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs New York City FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal got the better of New York City FC 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day CF Montreal made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 41% of the ball to New York City FC's 59%, shots finished 5-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for CF Montreal and 2.00 for New York City FC.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs New York City FC?

CF Montreal 2-0 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs New York City FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 39%, draw 26%, New York City FC 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Montreal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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