St. Louis City vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Louis City v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
St. Louis City
ABD
0-1
HT 0-0
Minnesota United
ABD
St. Louis City 1-3 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics
Minnesota United beat St. Louis City 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was St. Louis City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, St. Louis City had 59% of the ball to Minnesota United's 41%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.55 to 2.37.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Louis City and 1.00 for Minnesota United.
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Minnesota United?
St. Louis City 1-3 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs Minnesota United?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 45%, draw 25%, Minnesota United 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Louis City) went the other way.