Austin 0-1 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 30% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.24
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
4.27
X/2
10%
9.11
X/X
14%
5.26
2/1
6%
22.55
2/2
10%
7.11
2/X
6%
15.5
Value flag · X/1 at 4.27 — our 22% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austin EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 25%
-14% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.68/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.83
+0% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
22.5 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 1.51
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
414 Passes 271
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Austin Austin 3-2 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
16.06.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
01.10.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
26.03.2023 Austin Austin 1-1 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
10.10.2022 Austin Austin 1-1 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
05.07.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-3 HT 2-2 Austin Austin ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austin
0-1
AWAY Colorado Rapids
1.36 xG 0.69
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
410 Passes 245
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 17
35 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austin vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids edged past Austin 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Austin at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Austin had 59% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 41%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.36 to 0.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Austin.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Austin and 1.50 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of Austin vs Colorado Rapids?

Austin 0-1 Colorado Rapids in the USA - Major League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austin vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Austin 51%, draw 25%, Colorado Rapids 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Austin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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