DC United vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
DC United v Sporting Kansas City — Team-Based Signals
DC United vs Sporting Kansas City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
DC United
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Kansas City
ABD
1-0
HT 1-0
DC United
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Kansas City
ABD
0-1
HT 0-0
DC United
ABD
1-1
HT 1-1
Sporting Kansas City
ABD
DC United 2-1 Sporting Kansas City — Actual Match Statistics
DC United edged past Sporting Kansas City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had DC United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, DC United had 44% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 56%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.85 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold DC United's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for DC United and 0.83 for Sporting Kansas City.
What was the final score of DC United vs Sporting Kansas City?
DC United 2-1 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Major League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for DC United vs Sporting Kansas City?
Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split DC United 42%, draw 25%, Sporting Kansas City 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (DC United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.