New England Revolution 0-2 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 26% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.49
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
18%
5.67
X/2
12%
6.02
X/X
12%
5.04
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
16%
3.82
2/X
5%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.34/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.32
-10% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.8 Crosses 17.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.98 xG 1.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
391 Passes 356
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.07.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 5-1 HT 3-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
19.05.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-3 HT 0-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
09.11.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-1 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
29.10.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 3-1 HT 3-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
22.10.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 2-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
21.05.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 3-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
0-2
AWAY Philadelphia Union
0.38 xG 1.23
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
361 Passes 389
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 42
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union got the better of New England Revolution 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was New England Revolution at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, New England Revolution had 49% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 51%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.38 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for New England Revolution and 2.67 for Philadelphia Union.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?

New England Revolution 0-2 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 41%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✗ Over 2.5
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